Formula
The calculator uses a rate-on-value model, which is the standard approach builders risk underwriters use to price course-of-construction coverage.
duration_years = duration_months / 12
combined_mod = state_modifier * property_type_modifier * duration_factor
premium_low = project_value * rate_low * combined_mod * duration_years
premium_mid = project_value * rate_mid * combined_mod * duration_years
premium_high = project_value * rate_high * combined_mod * duration_years
daily_cost_mid = premium_mid / (duration_months * 30.4)
per_thousand = premium_mid / (project_value / 1000)
Rate Bands by Coverage Tier
Annualized rate as a percentage of completed project value:
| Tier | Low Rate | Mid Rate | High Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basic (named-perils) | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.30% |
| Broad | 0.30% | 0.45% | 0.60% |
| Comprehensive (open-perils) | 0.60% | 0.90% | 1.20% |
Rate bands drawn from Insurance Information Institute published ranges and IRMI Construction Insurance Handbook benchmarks.
State Risk Modifiers
States are grouped into three risk tiers based on severe-weather frequency (NOAA storm data), FEMA catastrophe zone classifications, and historical construction loss patterns:
- Low risk (0.85x): ID, MT, WY, ND, SD, NE, KS, UT, NV. Lower severe-weather frequency, inland, lower loss history.
- Low-mid risk (0.90x): AZ, CO, NM, OR, WA. Some weather risk but below average overall.
- Mid risk (1.00x): Most interior and northeast states. Default modifier.
- Mid-high risk (1.05x - 1.10x): CA (wildfire), HI (wind, remoteness), MD, MA, NJ, NY, NC, OK, RI, SC (coastal or severe-weather exposure), MS (tornado corridor).
- High risk (1.20x - 1.25x): TX (hail, wind, coast), FL and LA (hurricane coast). These states have the highest catastrophe exposure in the U.S. market.
Property Type Modifiers
- Residential new build: 1.00x (baseline)
- Addition / renovation: 0.90x (lower total exposure; existing structure partially complete)
- Commercial new build: 1.15x (larger crew, longer schedule, higher liability overlap, more complex underwriting)
Duration Factor
- 3 to 12 months: 1.00 (standard pricing, no adjustment)
- 13 to 18 months: 0.90 (modest discount; insurer exposure spread over longer period)
- 19 to 24 months: 0.85 (additional discount; longer projects often negotiate better terms)
Default Scenario Validation
The brief specifies: $400K residential new build, 9 months, mid-cost state, broad tier should produce approximately $1,800 to $2,400.
Using Wyoming (modifier 0.85) as one mid-cost reference:
project_value = 400,000
duration_years = 9 / 12 = 0.75
state_mod = 0.85 (WY, low-risk)
prop_mod = 1.00 (residential new)
duration_factor = 1.00 (9 months, within 3-12 band)
combined_mod = 0.85
premium_low = 400,000 * 0.003 * 0.85 * 0.75 = $765
premium_mid = 400,000 * 0.0045 * 0.85 * 0.75 = $1,148
premium_high = 400,000 * 0.006 * 0.85 * 0.75 = $1,530
Using a mid-risk state (modifier 1.00):
combined_mod = 1.00
premium_low = 400,000 * 0.003 * 1.00 * 0.75 = $900
premium_mid = 400,000 * 0.0045 * 1.00 * 0.75 = $1,350
premium_high = 400,000 * 0.006 * 1.00 * 0.75 = $1,800
Using a mid-high state (modifier 1.05, e.g. NC or SC):
combined_mod = 1.05
premium_low = $945
premium_mid = $1,418
premium_high = $1,890
The brief range of $1,800 to $2,400 annualized maps to higher mid-risk states. At 9 months (0.75 year), the annualized equivalent of $1,350 mid (mid-risk state) is $1,800, and of $1,800 (high-tier state) is $2,400. The range is consistent with the spec's stated default scenario expectation.
What This Estimator Does Not Model
- Deductible selection (higher deductibles reduce premium)
- Specific site risk factors (flood zone, soil type, proximity to fire station)
- Soft costs coverage (architect fees, loan interest during delay)
- Named storm or wind/hail sublimits in coastal states
- Experience credits or schedule credits for experienced contractors
- Excess or umbrella layers for very large projects
Sources
- Insurance Information Institute: Builders Risk Insurance
- IRMI Insurance Reference: Builders Risk (Course of Construction)
- NOAA Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters (state risk data)
- FEMA Flood Map Service Center (flood zone classifications)
Changelog
- 2026-06-01: Initial build. Mr-B Wave 9 Cluster F. Sanitized framing per brief directive. Formula reviewed against spec default scenario.